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Here is why property prices are going to climb in 2025 in Tampa

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Our industry specialist has reviewed and approved the final article. Also, some of the data presented here have been integrated into the Tampa real estate spreadsheet template.

Thinking of buying in Tampa? Get our financial spreadsheet tailored to this specific market.

Expecting a decrease in Tampa's prices in 2025? Think again.

Even with changing dynamics, Tampa's market is robust, with high demand and low supply pushing prices upward.

Let's explore why this city's prices are set to rise in 2025.

This article gives you valuable insights, but remember, it’s not and will never be investment advice. We pull data from a range of sources to provide you with the most accurate picture possible, yet we can’t guarantee complete accuracy. Markets are difficult to predict. Make sure to do your own research and consult a professional before making any financial moves. Any risks or losses are your own responsibility.

1) Tampa boasts an impressive livability score of 80, highlighting its excellent quality of life

Signal strength: strong

The livability score of 80 in Tampa is considered excellent because it reflects a high quality of life, which is a key factor attracting new residents and investors.

One reason for this high score is Tampa's vibrant cultural scene, including renowned museums and a lively arts community, which enhances the city's appeal. Additionally, Tampa boasts beautiful waterfronts and outdoor spaces, offering residents ample recreational opportunities and a pleasant environment.

Moreover, the city has a strong job market, particularly in sectors like healthcare and technology, which draws professionals seeking career opportunities. These factors combined make Tampa an attractive place to live, suggesting that housing demand is likely to increase as more people move to the area.

If the livability score were to drop below 70, indicating a decline in quality of life, it might signal a potential decrease in housing demand and prices.

Source: AreaVibes

2) In Tampa, there are only about 0.44 homes for each person, which is quite limited

Signal strength: strong

The fact that there is around 0.44 home per inhabitant in Tampa indicates a relatively low housing availability. This low ratio suggests that housing demand is likely to exceed supply, which often leads to rising prices. In Tampa, a unique factor is the influx of new residents due to its attractive climate and job opportunities.

As more people move to the area, the pressure on the housing market increases, further driving up prices. This is especially true in popular neighborhoods where limited space for new construction exists. The combination of these factors makes it likely that housing prices will continue to rise in 2025.

However, if the ratio were to increase to around 0.6 home per inhabitant, it might indicate a more balanced market. This could potentially stabilize or even decrease housing prices in Tampa.

Source: USCensus

housing prices Tampa

3) Tampa home values have risen by 2.5% since last year, and this trend may persist

Signal strength: strong

The fact that home values in Tampa have already changed by 2.5% since last year is a strong indicator of a rising trend in the housing market. This change suggests that demand is increasing, which often leads to higher prices.

Currently, the median home price in Tampa is around $375,010, and this figure is crucial for potential investors. It shows that the market is already at a significant price point, which could continue to rise if the trend persists.

Additionally, the median sales price per square foot is around $299, indicating that buyers are willing to pay a premium for space. This willingness to pay more per square foot is another sign that the market is heating up.

If the home value change were to drop below 1%, it might suggest a cooling market, contradicting the current upward trend.

Source: Redfin

4) Three main websites confidently predict that home prices in Tampa will rise in 2025

Signal strength: strong

There are three major websites forecasting a positive growth for home prices in Tampa in 2025, which is a promising signal for potential investors.

Among these forecasts, Realtor is the most optimistic with an expected increase of 11.80%, followed by Redfin's forecast of a 4% rise. Meanwhile, Zillow predicts a more modest growth of 0.70%, highlighting a significant gap in expectations.

While these forecasts are encouraging, it's important to remember that predictions should be approached with caution as they are not guarantees. We will also rely on strong, reliable, and current data to make a well-informed investment decision.

If these forecasts were to predict a negative growth or a decline in home prices, it would suggest a different market outlook.

Sources: ZillowForecasts, RedfinForecasts, RealtorForecasts

housing prices Tampa

5) Tampa's of 9.0% shows a bustling and competitive market with most spaces filled

Signal strength: moderate

The vacancy rate in Tampa is currently at 9.0%, which is considered very low. This low vacancy rate indicates that the housing market is highly occupied and competitive, meaning there is strong demand for housing in the area.

When demand is high and supply is limited, it often leads to increased housing prices as more people compete for fewer available homes. In such a market, properties that are easily rented are typically well-maintained and located in desirable areas.

Specifically, modern apartments in downtown Tampa are in high demand due to their proximity to amenities and employment opportunities. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating potential real estate investments in Tampa.

If the vacancy rate were to rise above 15%, it might indicate a shift towards a less competitive market, potentially affecting housing prices differently.

Sources: NeighborhoodScout, DataUSA, USCensus

6) In Tampa, home prices have risen by an average of 11.4% annually over the past decade

Signal strength: moderate

The fact that home prices in Tampa have appreciated at an average rate of 11.4% over the last decade is a noteworthy signal for potential investors.

This consistent growth over ten years suggests a strong history of demand and price increases, which can indicate favorable conditions for future appreciation. When a market shows such a steady upward trend, it often reflects underlying economic strength and attractiveness to buyers.

However, it's important to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. While historical data is a valuable tool, other factors like economic shifts or policy changes can also influence future market conditions.

If the average appreciation rate were to drop significantly below historical levels, it might suggest a change in the market dynamics.

Source: NeighborhoodScout

housing prices Tampa

7) In Tampa, about 18% of homes sell for more than their listing price

Signal strength: minimal

In Tampa, around 18% of sales close at a price higher than the listing price, which is a significant indicator of demand. When buyers are willing to pay more than the asking price, it often means that competition among buyers is strong.

This competition can drive prices up, as sellers realize they can get more for their properties. If this trend continues, it suggests that housing prices are likely to increase in the future.

Investors should take note of this pattern, as it can be a sign of a potentially profitable market for real estate investments. However, if the percentage of sales closing above the listing price were to drop significantly, say to below 5%, it might indicate a cooling market.

Source: Zillow

So, are Tampa's home prices set to rise in 2025? Absolutely!

Tampa's real estate market is poised for growth, driven by several compelling factors. The city's livability score of 80 highlights its excellent quality of life, attracting new residents and investors alike.

With only 0.44 homes per person, housing demand is expected to outpace supply, pushing prices higher. The 2.5% increase in home values over the past year further underscores this upward trend.

Predictions from major websites, like Realtor's 11.80% forecast, reinforce the expectation of rising prices. A low vacancy rate of 9.0% and a decade-long average appreciation of 11.4% add to the evidence of a competitive market.

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