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Thinking about investing in real estate in Mesa in 2025? You're on the right track.
Despite economic shifts, Mesa's real estate market shows promising stability and growth potential.
In this blog post, we will explore why investing in Mesa's property market is a wise decision.
We rely on solid, up-to-date data and statistics from trusted sources to guide our analysis.
By the end, we will share our own conclusions based on a comprehensive review of the information. Enjoy the read!
How this content was produced 🔎📝
This article offers thoughtful insights and analysis based on reliable sources, but it should not be considered financial advice. We work hard to research, compile, and analyze data to give you a well-informed perspective. However, as you can guess, our analysis involves subjective choices, such as source selection and methods, and it cannot fully capture the market's complexity. Please, always do your own research, consult professionals, and make decisions based on your own judgment. Any financial risks or losses are your responsibility. Additionally, you should know that we have no affiliation with the sources mentioned, ensuring our analysis is completely impartial.
1) Mesa boasts an impressive livability score of 81, highlighting its excellent quality of life
Signal strength: strong
The fact that the livability score in Mesa is 81 is a strong indicator that buying property here could be a wise investment.
This score is considered excellent because Mesa offers an abundance of recreational activities, such as hiking in the nearby Superstition Mountains and enjoying the numerous parks and golf courses. Additionally, Mesa is known for its strong sense of community, with various local events and festivals that bring residents together, fostering a welcoming environment. Furthermore, the city boasts a robust educational system, with several highly-rated schools and educational programs that attract families looking for quality education for their children.
These characteristics contribute to the high livability score, making Mesa an attractive place for potential homeowners and investors alike. When a city has a high livability score, it often translates to a stable or increasing demand for housing, which can lead to property value appreciation over time.
However, if the livability score were to drop below 70, it might suggest underlying issues that could affect property values negatively.
Source: AreaVibes
2) By 2026, major data center projects in Mesa, Arizona, like those by "Meta" and Novva, are expected to significantly increase real estate values
Signal strength: moderate
Several major data center projects in Mesa, Arizona, are set to significantly boost real estate values by 2026, making buying property there a potentially wise investment.
The Meta Data Center, a $1 billion project, is expected to be completed in 2026. Spanning over 2.5 million square feet, this advanced facility will enhance the local economy and increase property values. Its development by Meta and construction by DPR Construction highlight its significance, as it will be one of the most energy-efficient data centers globally, supported by 100% renewable energy and aiming for LEED Gold certification.
Another project, the Edged Energy Data Center, is set to complete in late 2025 near the Phoenix-Mesa Gateway Airport. This $70 million project will feature a 210,000-square-foot campus supporting high-density artificial intelligence and digital data processing. Developed by Edged Energy and constructed by Haydon, it will contribute to Mesa’s growing data center footprint, potentially increasing local property values.
The Novva Data Centers Campus, with a completion date for its first phase in late 2026, is another significant development. Located in Southeast Mesa, this project involves an investment of over $3 billion to build a 300MW data center campus on 160 acres. It will feature sustainable technologies like water-free cooling and solar energy, employing an estimated 200 people and contributing to the local economy and property values.
Sources: Construction Dive, AZ Big Media, AZ Tech Council, Novva, Construction Dive
We created this infographic to show how property prices in Mesa compare to other big cities in Arizona. It shows the median price as well as the price per sqft, making it easy to see which places might offer the best value. We hope you find it helpful.
3) Mesa, Arizona, is expected to see an increase in its population
Signal strength: moderate
The population growth in Mesa, Arizona, is a key indicator of potential investment opportunities in the real estate market.
Analyzing the historical population trends, Mesa has experienced a significant increase, with the population growing by 109,303 from 2000 to 2023. This growth, despite a slight decline after 2019, suggests a consistent demand for housing over the years. The average annual growth rate of 1.18% further supports the idea that Mesa is an attractive location for new residents.
Looking ahead, forecasts indicate that Mesa's population will continue to rise, reaching 541,913 by 2030. This projected growth implies a sustained demand for residential properties, making it a promising area for real estate investment. As more people move to Mesa, the need for housing, infrastructure, and services will likely increase, potentially driving up property values.
Additionally, broader demographic insights from state and county projections, as well as estimates from the Maricopa Association of Governments, provide a comprehensive view of the region's growth potential. These insights can help investors make informed decisions by understanding the long-term trends and opportunities in the Mesa real estate market.
Sources: Neilsberg, Aterio, Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity, SelectMesa.com, Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG)
4) Airbnb or "short-term rental" in Mesa offers a decent profitability rate of 4.0%, making it a fairly appealing investment
Signal strength: moderate
The cash-on-cash return on Airbnb in Mesa is 4.0%, which indicates a moderate level of profitability for short-term rental investments. This percentage suggests that investors can expect a reasonable return on their initial cash investment, making it an attractive option for those looking to enter the real estate market in this area.
Mesa attracts a variety of short-term tenants, including tourists visiting for its warm climate and outdoor activities, as well as business travelers attending conferences and events. Additionally, families and individuals visiting nearby attractions such as the Grand Canyon and other natural landmarks often choose to stay in Mesa for its convenient location and affordable accommodations.
These diverse groups of visitors create a steady demand for short-term rentals, which can help maintain occupancy rates and rental income. The consistent flow of tourists and business travelers ensures that property owners have a reliable source of potential tenants throughout the year.
If the cash-on-cash return were to drop below 2.0%, it might indicate a less favorable investment opportunity, as the potential returns would not justify the risks and costs associated with property ownership in Mesa.
Source: Mashvisor
Our team designed this infographic to show how competitive the real estate market in Mesa is vs. other major cities in Arizona. It shows the percentage of sales above the list price, a key indicator of market competition.
5) The "cash-on-cash return" of 4.0% for long-term rentals in Mesa is reasonably appealing
Signal strength: moderate
The cash-on-cash return of 4.0% in Mesa indicates that the property is generating a reasonable return on the cash invested. This percentage is a sign that the investment is not only covering its costs but also providing a moderate profit margin for the investor.
In Mesa, long-term tenants often include families and retirees who are attracted to the area's warm climate and affordable living. These tenants typically seek stability and are likely to stay for extended periods, ensuring a consistent rental income for property owners.
Additionally, Mesa's proximity to Phoenix and its growing job market makes it appealing to young professionals. This demographic is known for seeking rental properties that offer convenience and accessibility to employment opportunities.
If the cash-on-cash return were to drop below 2.0%, it might suggest that the investment is less attractive, potentially indicating higher risks or lower profitability.
Source: Mashvisor
So, is investing in real estate in Mesa a solid option in 2025? Absolutely, it is.
Investing in real estate in Mesa, Arizona, in 2025 is a promising opportunity.
First, Mesa's impressive livability score of 81 highlights its excellent quality of life, which is a strong indicator of stable or increasing housing demand. This score reflects the city's abundance of recreational activities, strong community sense, and robust educational system, all of which attract potential homeowners and investors.
Moreover, major data center projects by companies like Meta and Novva are expected to significantly boost real estate values by 2026. These projects, with investments totaling billions, will enhance the local economy and increase property values, making Mesa an attractive investment location.
Additionally, Mesa's population is projected to continue growing, reaching 541,913 by 2030. This growth suggests a sustained demand for housing, further supporting the potential for property value appreciation.
Finally, the cash-on-cash return of 4.0% for Airbnb and long-term rentals in Mesa indicates a moderate level of profitability, making it an appealing option for investors seeking reasonable returns. With a steady flow of tourists, business travelers, and long-term tenants, Mesa offers a reliable source of rental income.
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