Our industry specialist has reviewed and approved the final article. Also, some of the data presented here have been integrated into the Aurora real estate spreadsheet template.
Thinking about a dip in Aurora's property prices in 2025? You might want to think again.
Despite the ups and downs in the market, Aurora's housing scene is set to rise, driven by strong demand and limited availability.
Let's dive into why property prices in this area are expected to climb in the coming year.
We don't base our insights on mere speculation. We rely on solid, up-to-date data from various credible sources, and we conduct a comprehensive analysis to provide you with a well-rounded conclusion at the end of this post.
Enjoy the read as we unravel the factors behind Aurora's property price trends!
This article gives you valuable insights, but remember, it’s not and will never be investment advice. We pull data from a range of sources to provide you with the most accurate picture possible, yet we can’t guarantee complete accuracy. Markets are difficult to predict. Make sure to do your own research and consult a professional before making any financial moves. Any risks or losses are your own responsibility.
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- Why investing in real estate might not be the best idea in 2025 in Aurora
1) In Aurora, there are only about 0.38 homes for each person, which is quite limited
Signal strength: strong
The fact that there is around 0.38 home per inhabitant in Aurora indicates a limited housing supply relative to the population.
This low ratio suggests that housing demand is likely to exceed supply, which typically leads to an increase in housing prices. Aurora is known for its proximity to Denver and its growing job market, attracting more residents who need housing.
As more people move to the area, the pressure on the housing market intensifies, further driving up prices. Additionally, Aurora's appeal as a suburban area with urban amenities makes it a desirable place to live.
If the ratio were to increase to around 0.5 home per inhabitant, it might indicate a more balanced market, potentially stabilizing prices.
Source: USCensus
2) Three major websites confidently predict that home prices in Aurora will rise in 2025
Signal strength: strong
There are three major websites forecasting a positive growth for home prices in Aurora in 2025, which is a promising signal for potential investors.
Among these forecasts, Realtor is the most optimistic with an expected increase of 8.00%, followed by Redfin's forecast of 4%, and finally, Zillow predicts a more modest growth of 1.10%. The significant gap between these predictions highlights the varying levels of confidence and methodologies used by each platform.
While these forecasts are encouraging, it's important to remember that predictions should be taken with caution as they are based on current trends and assumptions. We will also rely on strong, reliable, and actual data to make a more informed and professional judgment about the market.
If these forecasts were to predict a negative growth or stagnation in home prices, it would suggest a different outlook for the Aurora housing market.
Sources: ZillowForecasts, RedfinForecasts, RealtorForecasts
3) Aurora's of 4.5% shows a bustling, competitive market with most spaces filled
Signal strength: moderate
The vacancy rate in Aurora is currently at 4.5%, which is considered very low. This low vacancy rate suggests that the housing market is highly occupied and competitive, meaning there is strong demand for housing in the area.
When demand is high and supply is limited, it often leads to increased housing prices as more people compete for fewer available homes. In such a market, properties that are easily rented are typically well-maintained single-family homes located in desirable neighborhoods.
Specifically, homes in areas like Meadow Hills with good schools and amenities tend to attract renters quickly. This demand for rental properties can further drive up property values as investors seek to capitalize on the rental market.
If the vacancy rate were to rise above 7%, it might indicate a shift towards a less competitive market, potentially stabilizing or even decreasing housing prices.
Sources: NeighborhoodScout, DataUSA, USCensus
4) Aurora has a "Livability" score of 73, indicating it's a pleasant place to live
Signal strength: moderate
The livability score of 73 in Aurora is a strong indicator that the area is desirable, which often leads to increased demand for housing.
One reason for this good score is Aurora's proximity to Denver, offering residents easy access to the amenities and job opportunities of a major city while enjoying a more suburban environment. Additionally, Aurora boasts extensive park systems and outdoor recreational areas, which are highly valued by families and individuals seeking a healthy lifestyle.
Another factor contributing to the livability score is the diverse cultural scene in Aurora, with a variety of restaurants, shops, and community events that attract people from different backgrounds. These characteristics make Aurora an attractive place to live, which can drive up housing demand and prices.
However, if the livability score were to drop below 65 due to changes in these factors, it might signal a potential decrease in housing demand and prices.
Source: AreaVibes
5) In Aurora, home prices have steadily increased by an average of 8.9% each year over the past decade
Signal strength: moderate
The fact that home prices in Aurora have appreciated at an average rate of 8.9% over the last decade is a strong signal that the housing market has been thriving. This consistent growth suggests that there has been a steady demand for homes in the area, which often leads to price increases.
When we see such a positive trend over a long period, it can indicate favorable conditions for future price growth. However, it's important to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results, as market dynamics can change.
Despite this, historical data like this is still a valuable indicator for potential investors to consider when evaluating the market. If the appreciation rate were to drop significantly, say below 3% over a similar period, it might suggest a different trend.
Source: NeighborhoodScout
6) Aurora boasts a strong employment rate of 69.2%
Signal strength: minimal
The employment rate in Aurora is at 69.2%, which is considered high compared to other regions in the United States.
This high employment rate suggests that more people have stable incomes, which often leads to an increased demand for housing. When people feel financially secure, they are more likely to invest in buying homes, thus driving up housing prices in Aurora as we approach 2025.
The major employment sectors in Aurora include healthcare, education, and technology. Companies like Children's Hospital Colorado and Raytheon Technologies employ a significant number of people, contributing to the robust job market.
If the employment rate were to drop below 60%, it might indicate a weakening economy, potentially leading to a decrease in housing demand.
7) In Aurora, about 28% of homes sell for more than their listing price
Signal strength: minimal
In Aurora, a notable indicator of the housing market's direction is that around 28% of sales close at a price higher than the listing price. This suggests that there is a strong demand for homes, as buyers are willing to pay more than the asking price to secure a property.
When demand exceeds supply, it often leads to increased competition among buyers, which can drive prices up. This competitive environment is a clear sign that housing prices are likely to rise in the near future, as more buyers are eager to invest in this market.
For potential investors, this trend indicates that investing in Aurora's real estate could be a profitable decision, as property values are expected to appreciate. However, it's important to keep an eye on market dynamics, as if the percentage of sales closing above the listing price were to drop significantly, it might suggest a cooling market.
Source: Zillow
So, are prices going to climb in Aurora in 2025? Yes, they are!
In Aurora, the housing market is poised for a price increase in 2025.
Firstly, the limited housing supply, with only about 0.38 homes per person, suggests that demand will continue to outstrip supply, driving prices up. Aurora's proximity to Denver and its growing job market further intensify this demand. Additionally, the low vacancy rate of 4.5% indicates a bustling market where competition is fierce, pushing prices higher.
Moreover, forecasts from three major websites predict a rise in home prices, with Realtor expecting an 8% increase. The city's livability score of 73 and a strong employment rate of 69.2% add to its appeal, attracting more residents. Historical data shows an average annual price increase of 8.9% over the past decade, reinforcing the trend of rising prices.